Political leaders face domestic constituencies that constrain their flexibility in peace negotiations. Public opinion in Ukraine, Russia, European countries, and the United States affects what settlements leaders can accept.
Ukrainian public opinion strongly opposes territorial concessions to Russia. Polls consistently show Ukrainian citizens rejecting settlements that would legitimize Russian control over occupied territories.
Russian domestic audiences receive state-controlled media narratives portraying the conflict differently. Public opinion in Russia might support or oppose various settlement terms depending on how state media frames outcomes.
European publics exhibit varying levels of support for continued Ukraine assistance. Some populations show fatigue with the conflict’s duration and costs, while others maintain strong support for Ukraine.
American public opinion shifts with changing political dynamics. The Trump administration faces different domestic pressures than previous governments, affecting American negotiating positions and flexibility.